03 November, 2008

Repeated, For Emphasis (Part 1) 

The Economist's Endorsement of Barack Obama for President.

IT IS impossible to forecast how important any presidency will be. Back in 2000 America stood tall as the undisputed superpower, at peace with a generally admiring world. The main argument was over what to do with the federal government’s huge budget surplus. Nobody foresaw the seismic events of the next eight years. When Americans go to the polls next week the mood will be very different. The United States is unhappy, divided and foundering both at home and abroad. Its self-belief and values are under attack.

For all the shortcomings of the campaign, both John McCain and Barack Obama offer hope of national redemption. Now America has to choose between them. The Economist does not have a vote, but if it did, it would cast it for Mr Obama. We do so wholeheartedly: the Democratic candidate has clearly shown that he offers the better chance of restoring America’s self-confidence. But we acknowledge it is a gamble. Given Mr Obama’s inexperience, the lack of clarity about some of his beliefs and the prospect of a stridently Democratic Congress, voting for him is a risk. Yet it is one America should take, given the steep road ahead.

For what it's worth (and, given that the Bush Regime has left our standing in the world in shambles, it ought to be worth quite a lot), The Economist's Global Electoral College shows that most of the world is overwhelmingly in favour of a Barack Obama presidency.

It's interesting to note that, among the many reasons why The Economist does not endorse John McCain, the Sarah Palin pick is yet another indication of the of the sloppiness of the McCain campaign. It is telling that, many of the reasons they give for being unable to support his presidency are much the same reasons I've heard from Republicans who have either moved to support Obama or remain undecided. And if he had paid more attention to the more moderate among the GOP, this may have been a very different campaign.

Mr McCain has his faults: he is an instinctive politician, quick to judge and with a sharp temper. And his age has long been a concern (how many global companies in distress would bring in a new 72-year-old boss?). Yet he has bravely taken unpopular positions—for free trade, immigration reform, the surge in Iraq, tackling climate change and campaign-finance reform. A western Republican in the Reagan mould, he has a long record of working with both Democrats and America’s allies.

If only the real John McCain had been running

That, however, was Senator McCain; the Candidate McCain of the past six months has too often seemed the victim of political sorcery, his good features magically inverted, his bad ones exaggerated. The fiscal conservative who once tackled Mr Bush over his unaffordable tax cuts now proposes not just to keep the cuts, but to deepen them. The man who denounced the religious right as “agents of intolerance” now embraces theocratic culture warriors. The campaigner against ethanol subsidies (who had a better record on global warming than most Democrats) came out in favour of a petrol-tax holiday. It has not all disappeared: his support for free trade has never wavered. Yet rather than heading towards the centre after he won the nomination, Mr McCain moved to the right.

And, most the damning observation of what a mess his 2008 campaign has become:

Ironically, given that he first won over so many independents by speaking his mind, the case for Mr McCain comes down to a piece of artifice: vote for him on the assumption that he does not believe a word of what he has been saying. Once he reaches the White House, runs this argument, he will put Mrs Palin back in her box, throw away his unrealistic tax plan and begin negotiations with the Democratic Congress. That is plausible; but it is a long way from the convincing case that Mr McCain could have made. Had he become president in 2000 instead of Mr Bush, the world might have had fewer problems. But this time it is beset by problems, and Mr McCain has not proved that he knows how to deal with them.

The Economist, while endorsing Senator Obama, is not all hearts and flowers. They share the concern held by many (myself included) about his resume being on the skimpy side and acknowledge that all the charisma in the world won't fix the fundamental problems we have in the United States and abroad.

But, if the last ten weeks of this campaign have shown American voters anything, it is that John McCain has proven himself wholly incapable of running his own campaign. How in the hell can we expect him to be able to run this country, much less provide the leadership needed to tackle the many crises we face (not forgetting that most of these crises are a result of the failures of the Bush Regime--which had the support of Senator McCain more often than not)?

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   ~~ victoria on 1:08 PM ~~    0 comments

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